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ANZ survey: NZ business confidence eases to +52 as oil rise hits late responses

For the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the key message is that inflation expectations did not move as oil prices jumped, which ANZ described as encouraging while stressing it is early. Against that, wage expectations edged up and ANZ says spare capacity may be getting used up faster than the central bank assumed in its recent Monetary Policy Statement, a mild upside risk to its wage forecasts. The…

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Japan August factory output falls 1.7% against forecast rise, retail sales slow

The industrial production miss and the softer retail print complicate the case for the Bank of Japan to move again quickly, and traders will weigh them against the strength implied by manufacturers' own projections for September and October. A former BoJ executive director has put the chance of an October hike at around 20% to 30%, so soft data could nudge that view lower, although the bank's…

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