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Japan weighs ¥5,000 annual payment for low-income workers under new benefit plan

The benefit itself is modest in scale, but it sits alongside a proposed two-year cut to the consumption tax on food, which keeps Japan’s fiscal trajectory in focus for bond investors. Any sign that the combined package grows beyond the reference figures could add to upward pressure on long-dated Japanese government bond yields and weigh on the yen, given persistent market sensitivity to Tokyo’s…

CommodityOilPrice.com

Oil Prices No Longer Follow Headlines

A month ago, a series of news reports said oil flows out of Hormuz had recovered to pre-war levels, pushing oil prices lower. However, the rout did not last. Benchmarks are set for their fourth monthly gain in a row, and no amount of repeating that Gulf states are exporting even more oil than before the war can change that. Because barrels are not the whole story. “What is the price of oil? Eight…

ForexForexLive

US clocks fall back: Wall Street opens an hour later for traders in Asia and Europe

The change doesn’t alter exchange hours, but it does shift when global liquidity overlaps. Asia-Pacific desks now see US cash trading start and finish an hour later on their clocks, which narrows the gap between the Wall Street close and the Asian open and changes when US-driven moves first reach Asian markets. For Europe, the London and New York overlap returns to its normal winter shape after a…

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Australia’s AI investment ambitions hit by another data centre setback

The delay adds to a run of setbacks that point to rising execution risk across Australia’s (and global) data centre sector, where permitting, energy supply and community opposition are all lengthening timelines. Listed developers and landlords such as NextDC and Goodman have already pulled back or delayed projects this year, and a regulatory hold on a project in one of the country’s most sparsely…

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Australia’s factory PMI stuck at 49.6 as new orders drop at fastest pace since 2024

The survey has an uncomfortable mix for policymakers: demand and output are contracting, but input costs and selling prices are rising faster. Firms cited higher interest rates among the reasons for weaker orders, while the pricing data suggest inflation pressure in the goods sector is building rather than fading, which complicates any case for policy relief. The Middle East war is feeding…

ForexForexLive

Trump says US and Canada have ‘concept’ of a deal, two days before midterms

Taken at face value, a thaw in US-Canada trade relations would support the Canadian dollar and trade-exposed Canadian equities, which have carried the cost of months of tit-for-tat tariffs. Markets are likely to discount the headline until there is text to read, though, because neither side has said what tariffs would change or when. The timing, two days before midterms in which tariffs on Canada…

ForexForexLive

Economic and event calendar in Asia Monday, November 2, 2026 - another China PMI

China’s private-sector manufacturing PMI is due at 01:45 GMT on Monday (20:45 US Eastern on Sunday), with economists expecting factory activity to keep growing in October, though at a slower pace than in September. The RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI, compiled by S&P Global, is forecast to ease to 51.6 from 52.1, according to a Reuters poll. That would still leave the index comfortably…

ForexForexLive

China’s factory and services PMI gauges both drop below 50 as fourth quarter starts on a weak note

Because the data came out on a Saturday, Monday’s Asian session is the first chance for markets to price the miss. Softer Chinese factory demand is usually a headwind for industrial metals such as copper and iron ore, and for China-sensitive currencies including the yuan and the Australian dollar. Chinese equities may be partly cushioned by expectations of more policy support. For oil, a weaker…

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