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Trump on Israel: The aid gets cut off at year-end

Trump spoke on Fox News and Israel came up. The comments appear to be putting some downward pressure on oil, with the sense that there are some lines being drawn between the US and Israel. The market is extending that to the idea that the US will make a deal with Iran. I'm skeptical that's what Trump is really implying here but the price action in oil this week is dramatic. Aid gets cut off at…

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Never tell me the odds: Prediction markets see Democrats taking control of House and Senate

Prediction markets are pointing to a Democratic sweep of Congress in today's US midterm elections, with the odds of Democrats taking control of the Senate rising sharply in recent weeks. As of around 8 am ET on Tuesday, November 3, the latest prices from Kalshi and Polymarket show: House control: Democrats 94–95%, Republicans 6–7% Senate control: Democrats 78%, Republicans 23–24% The Senate race…

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